Sunday, February 10, 2008

Clean Sweep

I'm pretty pumped after Obama's clean sweep of Nebraska, Louisiana, and Washington (with 20+ point margins in each).  Yeah, yeah, the demographics of these states favored Obama, Hillary expected to lose, blah, blah, blah.  Well you know what?  The rest of February favors Obama also and if Hillary is shut out she's done.  Just like Giuliani, you can't pin all of your hopes on some state(s) that are a month away and endure a string of losses where your opponent gains invaluable momentum.  Virginia looked like it could've been a toss-up but right now Obama is polling 15-20 points ahead, so it looks like the Potomac Primaries will all 3 go to Obama also.  Wisconsin's primary (on Feb. 19) is probably Hillary's best shot in February for a win but by that point Obama will have a 7 state winning streak (assuming he wins Maine's caucuses tomorrow which is probably not a given but them being caucuses certainly is a big advantage for him) and all the momentum.  Not to mention, he has already been destroying her in the midwest, so even though the polls are close right now, I'd be shocked if Hillary won Wisconsin.  I just can't see her winning Texas and Ohio decisively after 2 weeks where Obama, with all the momentum, can focus solely on these 2 states.  Maybe I'm being too optimistic but in my opinion, things are looking great for Obama right now (and this is not even taking into account all the play the national polls where Obama is consistently doing better vs. McCain than Hillary is have been getting recently).

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